Forecast Method

How SurfTrip
builds the forecast.

Global wave, wind, tide, and astronomy data, processed for Philippine surf spots, then translated into something surfers can actually use.

What goes into the call

The raw models give us the numbers. SurfTrip adds Philippine local time, surf-friendly presentation, and local spot context.

Waves

Swell height, swell period, wave direction, wind waves, and secondary swell where available.

Wind

Wind speed, direction, and gusts converted into local surf context.

Tides

Tide predictions generated from a global empirical tide model.

Sun + moon

Sunrise, sunset, moonrise, and moonset for planning dawn patrols and late sessions.

Alon AI

A plain-English summary after the forecast data has already been processed.

Fresh enough for the morning check.

Most surfers just want to know if it is worth paddling out. This is the rhythm behind the SurfTrip forecast page.

Tides Updated every midnight
Astronomy Updated every midnight
Wave forecast Updated once daily
Wind forecast Updated once daily
Alon AI summary Generated after the data run
Timezone Philippine local time

Raw data is not the final forecast

A global model sees the ocean. A local surfer also cares about exposure, tide behavior, wind protection, swell direction, and how that spot usually behaves in real life.

01

Pull trusted open data

We start with open meteorological, oceanographic, tide, and astronomy data sources.

02

Convert and align

Units, timezones, forecast hours, and local dates are converted into PH-friendly surf windows.

03

Add local flavor

The forecast is presented with spot behavior in mind, not just raw numbers from a grid cell.

Global models are smart. Local breaks are stubborn. That gap is where SurfTrip tries to be useful.

The summary is AI. The weather is not.

Alon AI reads the processed SurfTrip forecast data and turns it into a simple surf summary. It does not invent the swell, wind, or tide.

How to read it

Think of Alon AI like the friend who checks the numbers before you paddle out and says, “Morning looks cleaner, but the tide might be weird later.”

The numbers still come from the forecast pipeline. The AI layer is there to make the forecast easier to understand at a glance.

Data sources & credits

SurfTrip forecasts are processed and reblended. These providers make the raw data possible.

NOAA GFS-Wave

Wave and wind forecast data from NOAA/NCEP WAVEWATCH III (GFS-Wave), accessed via NOMADS. U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Public domain U.S. Government work

ECMWF Open Data

Adapted from ECMWF Open Data (IFS) forecast data by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), licensed under CC-BY-4.0, available from ECMWF open forecasts.

CC-BY-4.0 Attribution required

Copernicus Marine Service

Wave model data from the E.U. Copernicus Marine Service Global Ocean Waves Analysis and Forecast product (GLOBAL_ANALYSISFORECAST_WAV_001_027), dataset cmems_mod_glo_wav_anfc_0.083deg_PT3H-i. DOI: 10.48670/moi-00017.

Copernicus Marine Attribution required

EOT20 Tides

Hart-Davis Michael, Piccioni Gaia, Dettmering Denise, Schwatke Christian, Passaro Marcello, Seitz Florian (2021). EOT20 - A global Empirical Ocean Tide model from multi-mission satellite altimetry. SEANOE. DOI: 10.17882/79489.

CC-BY-4.0 Current tide source
Processing notice: All forecast and tidal data shown on SurfTrip is processed and reblended by SurfTrip and is not the original source data. Processing includes regional subsetting, unit conversion, timezone conversion to Philippine local time, slot alignment, multi-source blending, and tidal harmonic prediction derived from the EOT20 tidal atlas.
Surf check reminder: Surf forecasts are guidance, not guarantees. The ocean still does ocean things. Always check the beach, the tide, the wind, and your own ability before paddling out.
Terms and source credits last reviewed: 2026-06-04.